| Overall | 16W 3L 1T |
| District | 6W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 16: 2+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
4 4 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1493 -113 Strength Momentum |
1324 62.4(7) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Del Norte | 0.000 | 895 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1702 | 96% |  |
| 08/26/15 | Volcano Vista ? | 0.000 | 1463 | L 1- 4 | Worse (-4) | 1316 | 56% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.000 | 931 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1743 | 93% | |
| 09/01/15 | Albuquerque | 0.001 | 1514 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1592 | 50% | |
| 09/03/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.001 | 1444 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1507 | 58% | |
| 09/09/15 | at Cleveland | 0.004 | 1384 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1500 | 59% | |
| 09/12/15 | Clovis | 0.001 | 1305 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1852 | 72% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Mayfield ! | 0.007 | 1360 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1742 | 62% | |
| 09/19/15 | Las Cruces | 0.012 | 1308 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1693 | 72% | |
| 09/22/15 | St. Pius | 0.034 | 1289 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1480 | 74% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Manzano | 0.023 | 1120 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1571 | 83% | |
| 09/29/15 | Highland | 0.012 | 907 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1708 | 94% | |
| 10/03/15 | Eldorado | 0.144 | 1533 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 1501 | 48% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Sandia | 0.188 | 1340 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1478 | 64% | |
| 10/13/15 | Manzano | 0.287 | 1120 | W 4- 0 | Expected (0) | 1496 | 86% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Highland | 0.031 | 907 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1731 | 93% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Eldorado !! | 0.364 | 1533 | W 5- 1 | Better (+5) | 1726 | 42% | |
| 10/22/15 | Sandia ?? | 0.629 | 1340 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1355 | 69% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Las Cruces | 0.872 | 1308 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1539 | 70% | |
| 11/06/15 | * Cibola | 0.938 | 1546 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1458 | 44% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals La Cueva actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1324, while
La Cueva's "weighted playing strength" is 1499
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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